Summary
Starting on April 19, 2026, the refined daily payout estimates (the values that update roughly one week after the initial next-day estimate) are dropping to near-zero, despite the initial next-day estimates for those same days showing normal earnings consistent with the days immediately before. Days before April 19 in the same period are unaffected. This is not isolated to my island, other creators, including creators in the horror and roguelike genres, are reporting the same pattern.
Please select what you are reporting on:
Unreal Editor for Fortnite
What Type of Bug are you experiencing?
Creator Portal
Steps to Reproduce
Open the Creator Portal and go to Analytics
Open “Daily Payouts and Estimates”
Set a custom date range covering April 2 – April 27, 2026
Compare the initial next-day estimate captured each morning against the refined value that updates ~7 days later for the same date
Expected Result
The refined daily estimate should stay roughly consistent with the initial next-day estimate. Minor adjustments are expected, but the order of magnitude should match, a day initially estimated at a normal level should not refine down to near-zero.
Observed Result
So far, April 19 and April 20 are the days that have entered the refined estimate window and collapsed to near-zero on my dashboard. In the attached screenshot, both days refine to almost nothing, while the initial next-day estimates I recorded for them were in line with the days immediately before. Days before April 19 show normal refined values, which suggests this started on a specific date rather than being a long-running drift.The severity of the collapse appears to scale with creator size, but the issue is the same: on islands generating thousands per day, the refined estimate doesn’t drop all the way to zero, but it is consistently divided by a factor of roughly 25 to 50× compared to what the initial next-day estimate showed, even though the underlying player statistics for those days (sessions, retention, etc.) are normal and in line with surrounding days. This rules out a drop in actual gameplay activity as the cause and points clearly to a calculation issue in the refined estimate stage itself.Because the collapse happens specifically at the ~7-day refined estimate stage, every subsequent day from April 21 onwards will roll into this same refinement window over the coming days. Unless the underlying issue is identified and fixed, the entire stretch from April 19 forward is on track to refine to a small fraction of the initial estimate, even though next-day estimates indicated normal performance. This would affect a continuous, growing block of days for every impacted creator.This is not specific to my island. Other creators across different genres (notably horror and roguelike) can confirm the same behavior on their own dashboards from the same date forward, which points to a platform-wide issue rather than something tied to a particular island, mode, or audience.
Platform(s)
Creator Portal (web)
Upload an image
Additional Notes
I understand these values are estimates and not the final payout figure. However, refined estimates are the data point creators rely on to track and forecast their income, and they are typically much closer to the actual payout than the initial next-day estimate. If this issue is not flagged and corrected, there is a real risk it goes unnoticed and ends up reflected in actual payouts, which would materially impact the income of every affected creator across a growing window of days.
